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##  50 results 

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### Working Paper

Calvo, Richard, Vincent Pons, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections](/publications/pitfalls-demographic-forecasts-us-elections).”



 

 

Calvo, Richard, Vincent Pons, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections](/publications/pitfalls-demographic-forecasts-us-elections).”



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2025-06/Demography.pdf)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2025-06/Demography.pdf)
 
 

Andirin, Veli M., Yusuf Neggers, Mehdi Shadmehr, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Surveillance of Repression: Theory and Implementation.](/publications/measuring-tolerance-state-theory-and-application-protest)”, n.d.



 

 

Andirin, Veli M., Yusuf Neggers, Mehdi Shadmehr, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Surveillance of Repression: Theory and Implementation.](/publications/measuring-tolerance-state-theory-and-application-protest)”, n.d.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2025-10/protests.pdf)
- [Copy at URL](https://tinyurl.com/24mkmqej)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2025-10/protests.pdf)
- [Copy at URL](https://tinyurl.com/24mkmqej)
 
 

Andrews, Isaiah, Simon Essig Aberg, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[A Bayesian Critic for Frequentist Procedures](/publication/bayesian-critic-frequentist-procedures)”, 2026.



 

 

Andrews, Isaiah, Simon Essig Aberg, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[A Bayesian Critic for Frequentist Procedures](/publication/bayesian-critic-frequentist-procedures)”, 2026.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2026-05/CalibratedSim.pdf)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2026-05/CalibratedSim.pdf)
 
 

Kominers, Scott, and Jesse Shapiro. “[Robust Content Moderation: Theory and Applications.](/publications/content-moderation-opaque-policies).”



 

 

Kominers, Scott, and Jesse Shapiro. “[Robust Content Moderation: Theory and Applications.](/publications/content-moderation-opaque-policies).”



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2026-07/ContentModeration.pdf)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2026-07/ContentModeration.pdf)
 
 

 



### Forthcoming

Armona, Luis, Matthew Gentzkow, Emir Kamenica, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[What Is Newsworthy? Theory and Evidence](/publication/what-newsworthy-theory-and-evidence)”. *American Economic Review: Insights*, n.d.



 

 

Armona, Luis, Matthew Gentzkow, Emir Kamenica, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[What Is Newsworthy? Theory and Evidence](/publication/what-newsworthy-theory-and-evidence)”. *American Economic Review: Insights*, n.d.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2026-06/newsworthy.pdf)
- [ descriptionTalk](https://youtu.be/t-Zr7gN5eBA?si=fEe-qLIqg5R2LPDI)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2026-06/newsworthy.pdf)
- [ descriptionTalk](https://youtu.be/t-Zr7gN5eBA?si=fEe-qLIqg5R2LPDI)
 
 

 



### 2026

*[Introduction to Quantitative Economics](/publications/introduction-quantitative-economics)*. MIT Press, 2026.



 

 

*[Introduction to Quantitative Economics](/publications/introduction-quantitative-economics)*. MIT Press, 2026.



 

 

 

- [ shopping\_cartMIT Press](https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262051057/introduction-to-quantitative-economics/)
 
- [ shopping\_cartMIT Press](https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262051057/introduction-to-quantitative-economics/)
 
 

Andrews, Isaiah, and Jesse Shapiro. “[Communicating Scientific Uncertainty via Approximate Posteriors](/publication/communicating-scientific-uncertainty-approximate-posteriors)”. *Econometrica*, 2026.



 

 

Andrews, Isaiah, and Jesse Shapiro. “[Communicating Scientific Uncertainty via Approximate Posteriors](/publication/communicating-scientific-uncertainty-approximate-posteriors)”. *Econometrica*, 2026.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2026-06/PDF_0.pdf)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2026-06/PDF_0.pdf)
 
 

 



### 2025

Freyaldenhoven, Simon, Christian Hansen, Jorge Pérez Pérez, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Visualization, Identification, and Estimation in the Linear Panel Event-Study Design.](/publications/visualization-identification-and-estimation-linear-panel-event-study-design)”. *Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Twelfth World Congress*, 2025.



 

 

Freyaldenhoven, Simon, Christian Hansen, Jorge Pérez Pérez, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Visualization, Identification, and Estimation in the Linear Panel Event-Study Design.](/publications/visualization-identification-and-estimation-linear-panel-event-study-design)”. *Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Twelfth World Congress*, 2025.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/shapiro/files/eventstudy.pdf)
- [ descriptionPublisher's version](https://www.econometricsociety.org/publications/monograph-series/monographs-online)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/shapiro/files/eventstudy.pdf)
- [ descriptionPublisher's version](https://www.econometricsociety.org/publications/monograph-series/monographs-online)
 
 

Andrews, Isaiah, Nano Barahona, Matthew Gentzkow, Ashesh Rambachan, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Structural Estimation under Misspecification: Theory and Implications for Practice.](/publications/included-and-excluded-instruments-structural-estimation)”. *Quarterly Journal of Economics*, 2025.



 

 

Andrews, Isaiah, Nano Barahona, Matthew Gentzkow, Ashesh Rambachan, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Structural Estimation under Misspecification: Theory and Implications for Practice.](/publications/included-and-excluded-instruments-structural-estimation)”. *Quarterly Journal of Economics*, 2025.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2025-04/includediv.pdf)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/2025-04/includediv.pdf)
 
 

 



### 2024

Boxell, Levi, Matthew Gentzkow, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Cross-Country Trends in Affective Polarization.](/publications/cross-country-trends-affective-polarization)”. *Review of Economics and Statistics*, 2024.



 

 

Boxell, Levi, Matthew Gentzkow, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Cross-Country Trends in Affective Polarization.](/publications/cross-country-trends-affective-polarization)”. *Review of Economics and Statistics*, 2024.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/shapiro/files/cross-polar.pdf)
- [Data Series](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Lk0DGtVw4jw0_MrNrhNgxtBZ7Ect3lff/view)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/shapiro/files/cross-polar.pdf)
- [Data Series](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Lk0DGtVw4jw0_MrNrhNgxtBZ7Ect3lff/view)
 
 

Gentzkow, Matthew, Jesse M. Shapiro, Frank Yang, and Ali Yurukoglu. “[Pricing Power in Advertising Markets: Theory and Evidence.](/publications/advertising-prices-equilibrium-theory-and-evidence)”. *American Economic Review*, 2024.



 

 

Gentzkow, Matthew, Jesse M. Shapiro, Frank Yang, and Ali Yurukoglu. “[Pricing Power in Advertising Markets: Theory and Evidence.](/publications/advertising-prices-equilibrium-theory-and-evidence)”. *American Economic Review*, 2024.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/shapiro/files/ad-price-drivers.pdf)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/shapiro/files/ad-price-drivers.pdf)
 
 

 



### 2023

Petterson, Marco Stenborg, David Seim, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Bounds on a Slope from Size Restrictions on Economic Shocks.](/publications/bounds-slope-size-restrictions-economic-shocks)”. *American Economic Journal: Microeconomics*, 2023.



 

 

Petterson, Marco Stenborg, David Seim, and Jesse M. Shapiro. “[Bounds on a Slope from Size Restrictions on Economic Shocks.](/publications/bounds-slope-size-restrictions-economic-shocks)”. *American Economic Journal: Microeconomics*, 2023.



 

 

 

- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/shapiro/files/bounds.pdf)
 
- [ picture\_as\_pdfPDF](/sites/g/files/omnuum7731/files/shapiro/files/bounds.pdf)
 
 

 



 

 

 

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